An Extended Look be for How long will Grand Theft Auto VI
At least 10 minutes is priced at 91¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside How long will Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look be?: At least.
Price history
91¢ current
+41¢Contract brief
If Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look is at least 10 minutes, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least 10 minutes
Rank
#1 of 7
Leader
At least 10 minutes 92¢
Range
4¢-92¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXVIDEOLENGTH-26AUG27-GTA-10
Aug 8, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
92¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$275
Family rank
#1 of 7
7 outcomes · How long will Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look be?: At least
Closes
Aug 28, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
92 / 96¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look is at least 10 minutes, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 28, 2026
Identifier
KXVIDEOLENGTH-26AUG27-GTA-10
Event family
How long will Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look be?: At least.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
At least 10 minutes 92¢
Current share
26%
At least 10 minutes
kalshi · KXVIDEOLENGTH-26AUG27-GTA-10
At least 15 minutes
kalshi · KXVIDEOLENGTH-26AUG27-GTA-15
At least 20 minutes
kalshi · KXVIDEOLENGTH-26AUG27-GTA-20
At least 30 minutes
kalshi · KXVIDEOLENGTH-26AUG27-GTA-30
At least 45 minutes
kalshi · KXVIDEOLENGTH-26AUG27-GTA-45
At least 60 minutes
kalshi · KXVIDEOLENGTH-26AUG27-GTA-60
At least 75 minutes
kalshi · KXVIDEOLENGTH-26AUG27-GTA-75
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 91% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.