SimpleFunctions

Exactly 13 · How many awards will The Pitt win at the 78th Emmy Awards?: Exactly

Exactly 13 is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside How many awards will The Pitt win at the 78th Emmy Awards?: Exactly.

Open on KalshiView JSONEnter terminal

Price history

5¢ current

+3¢
0¢5¢
Jul 8, 2026Jul 9, 2026

Contract brief

If The Pitt has won exactly 13 awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Exactly 13

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Exactly 9 11¢

Range

1¢-11¢

Family volume

$28K

Identifier

KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-13

Jul 11, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 41m ago

Implied probability

5¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 11, 2026, 5:08 PM UTC · 41m ago

Bid

4¢

Ask

5¢

Spread

1¢

Reported volume

$113

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · How many awards will The Pitt win at the 78th Emmy Awards?: Exactly

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Family volume

$28K

Orderbook snapshot

4 / 5¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
100¢2.6K
4¢4.1K
2¢950
AskSize
5¢1.7K
6¢520
8¢344
10¢200
36¢94

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If The Pitt has won exactly 13 awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-13

SF Signal
SF Index
2533.10
Regime
neutral

Event family

How many awards will The Pitt win at the 78th Emmy Awards?: Exactly.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$28K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Exactly 9 11¢

Current share

0%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Exactly 9

kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-9

11¢
$55$55—

Exactly 5

kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-5

6¢
$80$80—

Exactly 6

kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-6

5¢
$156$00.2

Exactly 3

kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-3

4¢
$188$188—

Exactly 13

kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-13

4¢
$0$0—

Exactly 1

kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-1

2¢
$0$0—

Exactly 23

kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-23

1¢
$11K$11K—

Exactly 25

kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-25

1¢
$4K$4K—

Exactly 18

kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-18

1¢
$2K$2K—

Exactly 24

kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-24

1¢
$2K$2K—

Exactly 17

kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-17

1¢
$2K$2K—

Exactly 19

kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-19

1¢
$2K$2K—

Exactly 20

kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-20

1¢
$1K$1K—

Exactly 21

kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-21

1¢
$1K$1K—

Exactly 22

kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-22

1¢
$1K$1K—

Exactly 16

kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26PIT-16

1¢
$659$659—

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5066.2%

IY (No)

8.8%

Adj IY

2533%

CRI

24

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

IY (Yes)
5066.2%
IY (No)
8.8%
Adj IY
2533%
CRI
24
Overround
-0.2%

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

Prediction Market Index

Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.

Market Screener

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Event Probability API

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.