Exactly 11 · How many awards will Widow's Bay win at the 78th Emmy Awards?: Exactly
Exactly 11 is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside How many awards will Widow's Bay win at the 78th Emmy Awards?: Exactly.
Price history
1¢ current
−10¢Contract brief
If Widow's Bay has won exactly 11 awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Exactly 11
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
Exactly 13 12¢
Range
1¢-12¢
Family volume
$8K
Identifier
KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-11
Sep 16, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
Reported volume
$10K
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · How many awards will Widow's Bay win at the 78th Emmy Awards?: Exactly
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Family volume
$8K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Widow's Bay has won exactly 11 awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Identifier
KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-11
Event family
How many awards will Widow's Bay win at the 78th Emmy Awards?: Exactly.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Exactly 13 12¢
Current share
15%
Exactly 13
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-13
Exactly 12
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-12
Exactly 14
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-14
Exactly 4
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-4
Exactly 5
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-5
Exactly 15
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-15
Exactly 6
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-6
Exactly 7
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-7
Exactly 1
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-1
Exactly 11
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-11
Exactly 10
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-10
Exactly 2
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-2
Exactly 16
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-16
Exactly 17
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-17
Exactly 18
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-18
Exactly 19
kalshi · KXEMMYCOUNT-26WID-19
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 1% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.