SimpleFunctions

How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting

0 is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting.

Price history

27¢ current

31¢
25¢50¢
Jun 26, 2026Jul 24, 2026

Contract brief

If there are exactly 0 dissenting votes at the next scheduled FOMC meeting (scheduled for Jul 29, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

0

Rank

#1 of 5

Leader

0 26¢

Range

1¢-26¢

Family volume

$3K

Identifier

KXFOMCDISSENTCOUNT-26JUL-0

Jul 25, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

27¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 25, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

26¢

Ask

27¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#1 of 5

5 outcomes · How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting

Closes

Jul 29, 2026

Family volume

$3K

Orderbook snapshot

26 / 27¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
26¢598
25¢683
24¢6.2K
23¢1
18¢154
AskSize
27¢2.5K
28¢2.7K
29¢2.4K
30¢1.6K
31¢4.2K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If there are exactly 0 dissenting votes at the next scheduled FOMC meeting (scheduled for Jul 29, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 29, 2026

Identifier

KXFOMCDISSENTCOUNT-26JUL-0

SF Signal
SF Index
10621.55
Regime
neutral

Event family

How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$3K

Outcomes

5

Highest price

0 26¢

Current share

53%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

3

Overround

-0.1%

LAS

0.04

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3
Overround
-0.1%
LAS
0.04

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.