How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting
4 is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 5 inside How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting.
Price history
8¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If there are exactly 4 dissenting votes at the next scheduled FOMC meeting (scheduled for Jul 29, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
4
Rank
#5 of 5
Leader
0 25¢
Range
3¢-25¢
Family volume
$8K
Identifier
KXFOMCDISSENTCOUNT-26JUL-4
Jul 23, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#5 of 5
5 outcomes · How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Family volume
$8K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If there are exactly 4 dissenting votes at the next scheduled FOMC meeting (scheduled for Jul 29, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Identifier
KXFOMCDISSENTCOUNT-26JUL-4
Event family
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
0 25¢
Current share
26%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
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SimpleFunctions context
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.