How many golf major championships will Miles Russell win before 2036
4+ golf major championship wins is priced at 47¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 91¢ ask, 89¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside How many golf major championships will Miles Russell win before 2036.
Price history
47¢ current
+45¢Contract brief
If Miles Russell wins 4+ golf major championships before 2036, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
4+ golf major championship wins
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
1+ golf major championship wins 5¢
Range
2¢-5¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXPGAFUTURE-36MRUS-4
Jul 11, 2026, 9:34 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
89¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · How many golf major championships will Miles Russell win before 2036
Closes
Jan 1, 2036
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 91¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Miles Russell wins 4+ golf major championships before 2036, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2036
Identifier
KXPGAFUTURE-36MRUS-4
Event family
How many golf major championships will Miles Russell win before 2036.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
4
Highest price
1+ golf major championship wins 5¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
Read 47% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.