How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Aug 2026
2 is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Aug 2026.
Price history
13¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
If Donald Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
2
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
3 63¢
Range
1¢-63¢
Family volume
$129
Identifier
KXNJGOLFVISITCOUNT-26AUG-2
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$74
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Aug 2026
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Family volume
$129
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Donald Trump makes exactly 2 trips to Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 31, 2026
Identifier
KXNJGOLFVISITCOUNT-26AUG-2
Event family
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Aug 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$129
Outcomes
4
Highest price
3 63¢
Current share
57%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.