Iraq wins by more than 2.5 goals
Iraq wins by more than 2.5 goals is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 4 inside KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26SENIRQ.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If Iraq wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Senegal vs Iraq professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Iraq wins by more than 2.5 goals
Rank
#4 of 4
Leader
Senegal wins by more than 1.5 goals 55¢
Range
1¢-55¢
Family volume
$16K
Identifier
KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26SENIRQ-IRQ3
Jun 23, 2026, 2:23 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$300
Family rank
#4 of 4
4 outcomes · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26SENIRQ
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Family volume
$16K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Iraq wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Senegal vs Iraq professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Identifier
KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26SENIRQ-IRQ3
Event family
KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26SENIRQ.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$16K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Senegal wins by more than 1.5 goals 55¢
Current share
2%
Senegal wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26SENIRQ-SEN2
Senegal wins by more than 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26SENIRQ-SEN3
Iraq wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26SENIRQ-IRQ2
Iraq wins by more than 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26SENIRQ-IRQ3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.