SimpleFunctions

Jeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in the Big Ten: Jeremiah Smith · KXNCAAFBIGTENLEADER-26RECYDS

Jeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in the Big Ten: Jeremiah Smith is priced at 55¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 50¢ bid, 58¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 6 inside KXNCAAFBIGTENLEADER-26RECYDS.

Price history

55¢ current

+30¢
25¢50¢
Aug 23, 2026Aug 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Jeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in the Big Ten Conference in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in the Big Ten: Jeremiah Smith

Rank

#1 of 6

Leader

Jeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in the Big Ten: Jeremiah Smith 50¢

Range

5¢-50¢

Family volume

$45

Identifier

KXNCAAFBIGTENLEADER-26RECYDS-OSUJSMI

Aug 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

55¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 25, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

50¢

Ask

58¢

Spread

Reported volume

$804

Family rank

#1 of 6

6 outcomes · KXNCAAFBIGTENLEADER-26RECYDS

Closes

Jan 7, 2027

Family volume

$45

Orderbook snapshot

50 / 58¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
50¢200
26¢14
25¢500
4¢1.7K
3¢45
AskSize
58¢750
59¢202
75¢150
81¢1.1K
82¢150

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jeremiah Smith records the most receiving yards in the Big Ten Conference in the 2026 college football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 7, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFBIGTENLEADER-26RECYDS-OSUJSMI

SF Signal
SF Index
135.44
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

270.9%

IY (No)

270.9%

Adj IY

135%

CRI

1

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

270.9%
270.9%
Adj IY
135%
1
Overround
-0.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.