1+ assists for Jude Bellingham
Jude Bellingham: 1+ is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 11 inside KXWCAST-26JUL15ENGARG.
Price history
15¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If Jude Bellingham records at least 1 assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jude Bellingham: 1+
Rank
#2 of 11
Leader
Lionel Messi: 1+ 22¢
Range
2¢-22¢
Family volume
$19K
Identifier
KXWCAST-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGJBELLI5-1
Jul 14, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#2 of 11
11 outcomes · KXWCAST-26JUL15ENGARG
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Family volume
$19K
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jude Bellingham records at least 1 assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the England vs Argentina professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 29, 2026
Identifier
KXWCAST-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGJBELLI5-1
Event family
KXWCAST-26JUL15ENGARG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$19K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Lionel Messi: 1+ 22¢
Current share
8%
Lionel Messi: 1+
kalshi · KXWCAST-26JUL15ENGARG-ARGLMESSI10-1
Jude Bellingham: 1+
kalshi · KXWCAST-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGJBELLI5-1
Declan Rice: 1+
kalshi · KXWCAST-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGDRICE41-1
Harry Kane: 1+
kalshi · KXWCAST-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGHKANE9-1
Julian Alvarez: 1+
kalshi · KXWCAST-26JUL15ENGARG-ARGJALVAR19-1
Enzo Fernandez: 1+
kalshi · KXWCAST-26JUL15ENGARG-ARGEFERNA8-1
Elliot Anderson: 1+
kalshi · KXWCAST-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGEANDER8-1
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+
kalshi · KXWCAST-26JUL15ENGARG-ARGAMACA10-1
Lautaro Martinez: 1+
kalshi · KXWCAST-26JUL15ENGARG-ARGLMARTI10-1
Lionel Messi: 2+
kalshi · KXWCAST-26JUL15ENGARG-ARGLMESSI10-2
Declan Rice: 2+
kalshi · KXWCAST-26JUL15ENGARG-ENGDRICE41-2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.