SimpleFunctions

Kewan Lacy wins the award: Kewan Lacy · KXNCAAFAWARD-26DOAK

Kewan Lacy wins the award: Kewan Lacy is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXNCAAFAWARD-26DOAK.

Price history

11¢ current

+6¢
10¢20¢30¢
Aug 24, 2026Sep 18, 2026

Contract brief

If Kewan Lacy wins the Doak Walker Award in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Kewan Lacy wins the award: Kewan Lacy

Rank

#3 of 16

Leader

Dylan Riley wins the award: Dylan Riley 91¢

Range

2¢-91¢

Family volume

$464

Identifier

KXNCAAFAWARD-26DOAK-KLAC

Sep 22, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 49m ago

Implied probability

11¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 22, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 49m ago

Bid

5¢

Ask

12¢

Spread

7¢

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#3 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFAWARD-26DOAK

Closes

Jan 7, 2027

Family volume

$464

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 12¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
5¢100
AskSize
12¢5
13¢186
14¢100
34¢72
35¢115

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kewan Lacy wins the Doak Walker Award in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 7, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFAWARD-26DOAK-KLAC

SF Signal
SF Index
968.27
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNCAAFAWARD-26DOAK.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$464

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Dylan Riley wins the award: Dylan Riley 91¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1936.5%

IY (No)

60.3%

Adj IY

968%

CRI

6

Overround

1.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1936.5%
60.3%
Adj IY
968%
6
Overround
1.9%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.