SimpleFunctions

Raleek Brown wins the award: Raleek Brown · KXNCAAFAWARD-26DOAK

Raleek Brown wins the award: Raleek Brown is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXNCAAFAWARD-26DOAK.

Price history

4¢ current

0¢5¢
Sep 22, 2026Sep 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Raleek Brown wins the Doak Walker Award in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Raleek Brown wins the award: Raleek Brown

Rank

#11 of 16

Leader

Dylan Riley wins the award: Dylan Riley 91¢

Range

2¢-91¢

Family volume

$464

Identifier

KXNCAAFAWARD-26DOAK-RBRO

Sep 22, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

4¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 22, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

0¢

Ask

1¢

Spread

1¢

Reported volume

$47

Family rank

#11 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNCAAFAWARD-26DOAK

Closes

Jan 7, 2027

Family volume

$464

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
23¢388
25¢250
35¢115
97¢167
100¢300

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Raleek Brown wins the Doak Walker Award in the 2026 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 7, 2027

Identifier

KXNCAAFAWARD-26DOAK-RBRO

SF Signal
SF Index
4100.89
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNCAAFAWARD-26DOAK.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$464

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Dylan Riley wins the award: Dylan Riley 91¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

8201.8%

IY (No)

14.2%

Adj IY

4101%

CRI

24

Overround

1.9%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

8201.8%
14.2%
Adj IY
4101%
24
Overround
1.9%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.