Kraken IPO by March 31, 2027
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2027 is priced at 56¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 15¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 82¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
56¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the IPO must result in the company's shares being listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading. Filing an S-1 or announcing IPO intentions alone does not qualify. If Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Kraken and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Kraken; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2027
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$23
Identifier
0xcba52062...b4ee
Aug 27, 2026, 12:14 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
82¢
24h volume
$23
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Apr 1, 2027
Family volume
$23
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 97¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the IPO must result in the company's shares being listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading. Filing an S-1 or announcing IPO intentions alone does not qualify. If Kraken is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Kraken and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Kraken; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Apr 1, 2027
Identifier
0xcba52062…b4ee
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$23
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2027 56¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
financial
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
Read 56% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.