Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · KXPRESNOMD-28
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXPRESNOMD-28.
Price history
19¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18¢
Range
1¢-18¢
Family volume
$520K
Identifier
KXPRESNOMD-28-AOC
Aug 24, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$131K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · KXPRESNOMD-28
Closes
Nov 7, 2028
Family volume
$520K
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 7, 2028
Identifier
KXPRESNOMD-28-AOC
Event family
KXPRESNOMD-28.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$520K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18¢
Current share
25%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-AOC
Jon Ossoff
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-JOSS
Gavin Newsom
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
Kamala Harris
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-KH
Pete Buttigieg
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-PB
Mark Kelly
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-MK
Josh Shapiro
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-JS
Rahm Emanuel
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
Andy Beshear
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-AB
James Talarico
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-JTAL
Ro Khanna
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-RKHA
J.B. Pritzker
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-JBP
Stephen A. Smith
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-SAS
Mark Cuban
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-MC
Cory Booker
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-CBOO
Raphael Warnock
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-RW
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.