Will Rahm Emanuel be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
This contract is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$294K
Best sibling
Graham Platner 2¢
Ticker
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
Market snapshot
Rahm Emanuel in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Rahm Emanuel be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?. The displayed quote is 5¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $28K. In the KXPRESNOMD-28 family, this outcome ranks #5 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC.
Outcome
Rahm Emanuel
Family rank
#5 of 16
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
5¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Nov 7, 2028
24h volume
$28K
Family context
16 outcomes · KXPRESNOMD-28
Quote range
1¢-24¢
Family leader
Gavin Newsom 24¢
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 12m ago
Venue identifier: KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA. Family volume: $294K.
Price history
5¢ current
+2¢Orderbook snapshot
5 / 5¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Rahm Emanuel wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 7, 2028
Identifier
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at —.
Event family
KXPRESNOMD-28.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$294K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Gavin Newsom 24¢
Current share
10%
Rahm Emanuel
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
Graham Platner
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-GPLA
Jon Stewart
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-JSTE
Josh Shapiro
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-JS
Mark Kelly
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-MK
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-AOC
Michelle Obama
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-MO
Gavin Newsom
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
Kamala Harris
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-KH
Jon Ossoff
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-JOSS
Andy Beshear
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-AB
Ro Khanna
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-RKHA
Pete Buttigieg
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-PB
Wes Moore
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-WM
J.B. Pritzker
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-JBP
Stephen A. Smith
kalshi · KXPRESNOMD-28-SAS
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.