SimpleFunctions

Alondrissa vs Angie Velasco Winner for La Velada del Año VI

Alondrissa is priced at 83¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 81¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside La Velada del Año VI: Alondrissa vs Angie Velasco Winner.

Price history

83¢ current

+80¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Apr 27, 2026May 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Alondrissa wins the La Velada del Año VI: Alondrissa vs Angie Velasco boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Alondrissa

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Alondrissa 2¢

Range

2¢-2¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXBOXING-26JUL25ALONAVEL-ALON

May 27, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 52m ago

Implied probability

83¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 52m ago

Bid

Ask

83¢

Spread

81¢

Reported volume

$25

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · La Velada del Año VI: Alondrissa vs Angie Velasco Winner

Closes

Aug 8, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 83¢

Kalshi
81¢ spread
BidSize
100¢503
2¢1.3K
AskSize
83¢179
89¢402
90¢100
94¢442
95¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Alondrissa wins the La Velada del Año VI: Alondrissa vs Angie Velasco boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 8, 2026

Identifier

KXBOXING-26JUL25ALONAVEL-ALON

SF Signal
SF Index
0.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

La Velada del Año VI: Alondrissa vs Angie Velasco Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Alondrissa 2¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5752.1%

IY (No)

43.5%

Adj IY

0%

CRI

12

RV

213107%

VR

70.38

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5752.1%
43.5%
Adj IY
0%
12
RV
213107%
VR
70.38
IAR
0.4/h
LAS
10.38

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.