Rivers vs Roro Winner for La Velada del Año VI
Rivers is priced at 74¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 74¢ ask, 43¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside La Velada del Año VI: Rivers vs Roro Winner?: R.
Price history
74¢ current
+40¢Contract brief
If Rivers wins the La Velada del Año VI: Rivers vs Roro boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Rivers
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Roro 36¢
Range
31¢-36¢
Family volume
$6
Identifier
KXBOXING-26JUL25RIVERORO-RIVE
Jul 12, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
31¢
Ask
74¢
Spread
43¢
24h volume
$1
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · La Velada del Año VI: Rivers vs Roro Winner?: R
Closes
Aug 8, 2026
Family volume
$6
Orderbook snapshot
31 / 74¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Rivers wins the La Velada del Año VI: Rivers vs Roro boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 8, 2026
Identifier
KXBOXING-26JUL25RIVERORO-RIVE
Event family
La Velada del Año VI: Rivers vs Roro Winner?: R.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Roro 36¢
Current share
17%
Roro
kalshi · KXBOXING-26JUL25RIVERORO-RORO
Rivers
kalshi · KXBOXING-26JUL25RIVERORO-RIVE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.