SimpleFunctions

Yo Soy Plex vs Fernanfloo Winner for La Velada del Año VI

Yo Soy Plex is priced at 82¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 41¢ bid, 82¢ ask, 41¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside La Velada del Año VI: Yo Soy Plex vs Fernanfloo Winner.

Price history

82¢ current

+40¢
50¢75¢
Jun 12, 2026Jul 5, 2026

Contract brief

If Yo Soy Plex wins the La Velada del Año VI: Yo Soy Plex vs Fernanfloo boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Yo Soy Plex

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Yo Soy Plex 41¢

Range

16¢-41¢

Family volume

$1

Identifier

KXBOXING-26JUL25YSOYFERN-YSOY

Jul 11, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

82¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 11, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

41¢

Ask

82¢

Spread

41¢

24h volume

$1

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · La Velada del Año VI: Yo Soy Plex vs Fernanfloo Winner

Closes

Aug 8, 2026

Family volume

$1

Orderbook snapshot

41 / 82¢

Kalshi
41¢ spread
BidSize
41¢27
22¢4
20¢38
19¢10
12¢50
AskSize
82¢50
83¢444
87¢1
92¢317
93¢468

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Yo Soy Plex wins the La Velada del Año VI: Yo Soy Plex vs Fernanfloo boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 8, 2026

Identifier

KXBOXING-26JUL25YSOYFERN-YSOY

SF Signal
SF Index
0.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

La Velada del Año VI: Yo Soy Plex vs Fernanfloo Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Yo Soy Plex 41¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1865.1%
900.7%
Adj IY
0%
1
LAS
1.00

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.