Retires / No Team for LeBron James' next conference before Oct 23, 2026
Retires / No Team: Retires / No Team is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside LeBron James' next conference before Oct 23, 2026.
Price history
2¢ current
Contract brief
If LeBron James' officially retires or is not signed to any team before Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Retires / No Team: Retires / No Team
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Eastern Conference: Any team in the Eastern Conference 79¢
Range
1¢-79¢
Family volume
$32K
Identifier
KXNBANEXTTEAMCONF-26LJAMES23-NONE
Jul 24, 2026, 8:11 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$18K
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · LeBron James' next conference before Oct 23, 2026
Closes
Oct 23, 2026
Family volume
$32K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If LeBron James' officially retires or is not signed to any team before Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 23, 2026
Identifier
KXNBANEXTTEAMCONF-26LJAMES23-NONE
Event family
LeBron James' next conference before Oct 23, 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$32K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Eastern Conference: Any team in the Eastern Conference 79¢
Current share
56%
Eastern Conference: Any team in the Eastern Conference
kalshi · KXNBANEXTTEAMCONF-26LJAMES23-EAST
Western Conference: Any team in the Western Conference
kalshi · KXNBANEXTTEAMCONF-26LJAMES23-WEST
Retires / No Team: Retires / No Team
kalshi · KXNBANEXTTEAMCONF-26LJAMES23-NONE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.