Western Conference for LeBron James' next conference before Oct 23, 2026
Western Conference: Any team in the Western Conference is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside LeBron James' next conference before Oct 23, 2026.
Price history
20¢ current
−9¢Contract brief
If LeBron James' next team is any team in the Pro Basketball Western Conference before Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Western Conference: Any team in the Western Conference
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Eastern Conference: Any team in the Eastern Conference 79¢
Range
1¢-79¢
Family volume
$41K
Identifier
KXNBANEXTTEAMCONF-26LJAMES23-WEST
Jul 24, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
20¢
Ask
21¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$10K
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · LeBron James' next conference before Oct 23, 2026
Closes
Oct 23, 2026
Family volume
$41K
Orderbook snapshot
20 / 21¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If LeBron James' next team is any team in the Pro Basketball Western Conference before Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 23, 2026
Identifier
KXNBANEXTTEAMCONF-26LJAMES23-WEST
Event family
LeBron James' next conference before Oct 23, 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$41K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Eastern Conference: Any team in the Eastern Conference 79¢
Current share
25%
Eastern Conference: Any team in the Eastern Conference
kalshi · KXNBANEXTTEAMCONF-26LJAMES23-EAST
Western Conference: Any team in the Western Conference
kalshi · KXNBANEXTTEAMCONF-26LJAMES23-WEST
Retires / No Team: Retires / No Team
kalshi · KXNBANEXTTEAMCONF-26LJAMES23-NONE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.