Los Angeles F wins by more than 2.5 goals
Los Angeles F wins by more than 2.5 goals is priced at 41¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside KXMLSSPREAD-26JUL25LAFCSKC.
Price history
41¢ current
+39¢Contract brief
If Los Angeles F wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Los Angeles F vs Kansas City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Los Angeles F wins by more than 2.5 goals
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
Los Angeles F wins by more than 1.5 goals 60¢
Range
2¢-60¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXMLSSPREAD-26JUL25LAFCSKC-LAFC3
Jul 22, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
39¢
Ask
43¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · KXMLSSPREAD-26JUL25LAFCSKC
Closes
Aug 9, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
39 / 43¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Los Angeles F wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Los Angeles F vs Kansas City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 9, 2026
Identifier
KXMLSSPREAD-26JUL25LAFCSKC-LAFC3
Event family
KXMLSSPREAD-26JUL25LAFCSKC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Los Angeles F wins by more than 1.5 goals 60¢
Current share
—
Los Angeles F wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXMLSSPREAD-26JUL25LAFCSKC-LAFC2
Los Angeles F wins by more than 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXMLSSPREAD-26JUL25LAFCSKC-LAFC3
Kansas City wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXMLSSPREAD-26JUL25LAFCSKC-SKC2
Kansas City wins by more than 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXMLSSPREAD-26JUL25LAFCSKC-SKC3
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.