Los Angeles C wins by over 17.5 points
Los Angeles C wins by over 17.5 points is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC.
Price history
20¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
If Los Angeles C wins by more than 17.5 points in the Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Los Angeles C wins by over 17.5 points
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Los Angeles C wins by over 10.5 points 45¢
Range
2¢-45¢
Family volume
$93
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-LAC18
Aug 27, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
19¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$214
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Family volume
$93
Orderbook snapshot
19 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Los Angeles C wins by more than 17.5 points in the Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-LAC18
Event family
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$93
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Los Angeles C wins by over 10.5 points 45¢
Current share
0%
Los Angeles C wins by over 10.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-LAC11
Los Angeles C wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-LAC10
Los Angeles C wins by over 11.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-LAC12
Los Angeles C wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-LAC14
Los Angeles C wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-LAC15
Los Angeles C wins by over 17.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-LAC18
Arizona wins by over 1.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-ARI2
Arizona wins by over 4.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-ARI5
Arizona wins by over 5.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-ARI6
Los Angeles C wins by over 27.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-LAC28
Arizona wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-ARI10
Arizona wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-ARI3
Arizona wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-ARI4
Arizona wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-ARI7
Arizona wins by over 7.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-ARI8
Arizona wins by over 10.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-ARI11
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Prediction market liquidity: why depth matters more than volume for serious traders
Why orderbook depth matters more than volume for prediction market traders. Real Kalshi examples, liquidity scoring framework, and how to avoid slippage.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 20% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.