SimpleFunctions

Fighting Souls Metacritic score for Marvel Tokon

Above 80 is priced at 93¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 85¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 13 inside Marvel Tokon: Fighting Souls Metacritic score?: Above.

Price history

93¢ current

+32¢
75¢
Jul 15, 2026Jul 21, 2026

Contract brief

If the Metascore for Marvel Tokon: Fighting Souls is Above 80 seven days after release at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 80

Rank

#10 of 13

Leader

Above 10 99¢

Range

1¢-99¢

Family volume

$27

Identifier

KXMC-MAR-80

Jul 25, 2026, 8:09 AM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

93¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 25, 2026, 8:09 AM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

85¢

Ask

95¢

Spread

10¢

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#10 of 13

13 outcomes · Marvel Tokon: Fighting Souls Metacritic score?: Above

Closes

Aug 13, 2026

Family volume

$27

Orderbook snapshot

85 / 95¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
85¢100
8¢268
7¢822
AskSize
95¢100
97¢50
98¢35
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Metascore for Marvel Tokon: Fighting Souls is Above 80 seven days after release at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 13, 2026

Identifier

KXMC-MAR-80

SF Signal
SF Index
5373.97
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

334.7%

IY (No)

10747.9%

Adj IY

5374%

CRI

6

Overround

3.6%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

334.7%
10747.9%
Adj IY
5374%
6
Overround
3.6%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.