SimpleFunctions

Fighting Souls Metacritic score for Marvel Tokon

Above 75 is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 92¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 13 inside Marvel Tokon: Fighting Souls Metacritic score?: Above.

Price history

96¢ current

+86¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 14, 2026Jul 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the Metascore for Marvel Tokon: Fighting Souls is Above 75 seven days after release at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Above 75

Rank

#9 of 13

Leader

Above 10 99¢

Range

1¢-99¢

Family volume

$84

Identifier

KXMC-MAR-75

Jul 26, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 24m ago

Implied probability

96¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 26, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 24m ago

Bid

92¢

Ask

96¢

Spread

Reported volume

$758

Family rank

#9 of 13

13 outcomes · Marvel Tokon: Fighting Souls Metacritic score?: Above

Closes

Aug 13, 2026

Family volume

$84

Orderbook snapshot

92 / 96¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
92¢6
90¢100
52¢117
51¢140
2¢128
AskSize
96¢100
97¢50
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Metascore for Marvel Tokon: Fighting Souls is Above 75 seven days after release at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 13, 2026

Identifier

KXMC-MAR-75

SF Signal
SF Index
11195.44
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

177.0%

IY (No)

23409.2%

Adj IY

11195%

CRI

12

Overround

3.5%

LAS

0.04

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

177.0%
23409.2%
Adj IY
11195%
12
Overround
3.5%
LAS
0.04

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.