Miami wins by over 16.5 points
Miami wins by over 16.5 points is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS.
Price history
14¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Miami wins by more than 16.5 points in the Miami vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Miami wins by over 16.5 points
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
Miami wins by over 1.5 points 49¢
Range
6¢-49¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-MIA17
Aug 8, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$390
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 12¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Miami wins by more than 16.5 points in the Miami vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 16, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-MIA17
Event family
KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Miami wins by over 1.5 points 49¢
Current share
25%
Miami wins by over 1.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-MIA2
Washington wins by over 1.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-WAS2
Washington wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-WAS3
Miami wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-MIA7
Miami wins by over 7.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-MIA8
Washington wins by over 5.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-WAS6
Washington wins by over 7.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-WAS8
Washington wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-WAS7
Washington wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-WAS10
Miami wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-MIA14
Washington wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-WAS14
Washington wins by over 10.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-WAS11
Miami wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-MIA15
Miami wins by over 16.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-MIA17
Washington wins by over 16.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-WAS17
Washington wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG14MIAWAS-WAS15
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.