1+ goals for Michael Olise
Michael Olise: 1+ goals: Michael Olise: 1+ is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 23¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 11 inside KXWCGOAL-26JUN26NORFRA.
Price history
24¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If Michael Olise records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Michael Olise: 1+ goals: Michael Olise: 1+
Rank
#4 of 11
Leader
Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals: Kylian Mbappe: 1+ 42¢
Range
1¢-42¢
Family volume
$8K
Identifier
KXWCGOAL-26JUN26NORFRA-FRAMOLISE17-1
Jun 24, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
23¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$165
Family rank
#4 of 11
11 outcomes · KXWCGOAL-26JUN26NORFRA
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Family volume
$8K
Orderbook snapshot
23 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Michael Olise records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Norway vs France professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGOAL-26JUN26NORFRA-FRAMOLISE17-1
Event family
KXWCGOAL-26JUN26NORFRA.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals: Kylian Mbappe: 1+ 42¢
Current share
2%
Kylian Mbappe: 1+ goals: Kylian Mbappe: 1+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUN26NORFRA-FRAKMBAPP10-1
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals: Erling Haaland: 1+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUN26NORFRA-NOREHAALA9-1
Ousmane Dembele: 1+ goals: Ousmane Dembele: 1+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUN26NORFRA-FRAODEMBE10-1
Michael Olise: 1+ goals: Michael Olise: 1+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUN26NORFRA-FRAMOLISE17-1
Desire Doue: 1+ goals: Desire Doue: 1+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUN26NORFRA-FRADDOUE14-1
Kylian Mbappe: 2+ goals: Kylian Mbappe: 2+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUN26NORFRA-FRAKMBAPP10-2
Erling Haaland: 2+ goals: Erling Haaland: 2+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUN26NORFRA-NOREHAALA9-2
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals: Antonio Nusa: 1+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUN26NORFRA-NORANUSA7-1
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals: Erling Haaland: 3+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUN26NORFRA-NOREHAALA9-3
Kylian Mbappe: 3+ goals: Kylian Mbappe: 3+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUN26NORFRA-FRAKMBAPP10-3
Martin Odegaard: 1+ goals: Martin Odegaard: 1+
kalshi · KXWCGOAL-26JUN26NORFRA-NORMODEGA8-1
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.