SimpleFunctions

Anytime Goalscorer for Michael Olise

Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 98¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

50¢ current

50¢
Sep 6, 2026Sep 6, 2026

Contract brief

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern München and FK Bodø/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Olise is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Outcome

Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$0

Identifier

0xae41a9f2...44ee

Sep 6, 2026, 10:04 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 6, 2026, 10:04 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

99¢

Spread

98¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 99¢

Polymarket
98¢ spread
BidSize
100¢443
AskSize
99¢443

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern München and FK Bodø/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Olise is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Sep 10, 2026

Identifier

0xae41a9f2…44ee

SF Signal
Regime
taker

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer 50¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

taker

Score

0.625

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.