Minnesota wins by over 18.5 points
Minnesota wins by over 18.5 points is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 12 inside KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN.
Price history
28¢ current
+19¢Contract brief
If Minnesota wins the Phoenix vs Minnesota women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jul 13, 2026 by more than 18.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Minnesota wins by over 18.5 points
Rank
#7 of 12
Leader
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points 82¢
Range
2¢-82¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN-MIN19
Jul 13, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
29¢
Ask
31¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$4
Family rank
#7 of 12
12 outcomes · KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN
Closes
Jul 28, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
29 / 31¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Minnesota wins the Phoenix vs Minnesota women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jul 13, 2026 by more than 18.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 28, 2026
Identifier
KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN-MIN19
Event family
KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points 82¢
Current share
0%
Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN-MIN2
Minnesota wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN-MIN4
Minnesota wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN-MIN7
Minnesota wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN-MIN10
Minnesota wins by over 12.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN-MIN13
Minnesota wins by over 15.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN-MIN16
Minnesota wins by over 18.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN-MIN19
Minnesota wins by over 21.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN-MIN22
Phoenix wins by over 1.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN-PHX2
Phoenix wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN-PHX4
Phoenix wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN-PHX7
Phoenix wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXWNBASPREAD-26JUL13PHXMIN-PHX10
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 28% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.