SimpleFunctions

Atlanta to win Nashville vs Atlanta

Atlanta is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Nashville vs Atlanta Winner.

Price history

14¢ current

+4¢
10¢15¢
Jul 11, 2026Jul 13, 2026

Contract brief

If Atlanta wins the Nashville vs Atlanta professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Atlanta

Rank

#3 of 3

Leader

Nashville 66¢

Range

12¢-66¢

Family volume

$235

Identifier

KXMLSGAME-26JUL17NSHATL-ATL

Jul 14, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

14¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 14, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

13¢

Spread

24h volume

$175

Family rank

#3 of 3

3 outcomes · Nashville vs Atlanta Winner

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Family volume

$235

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 13¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
12¢534
11¢2.1K
10¢8.3K
9¢2.5K
8¢200
AskSize
13¢422
14¢2.9K
15¢2.6K
16¢1.4K
17¢1.9K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Atlanta wins the Nashville vs Atlanta professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMLSGAME-26JUL17NSHATL-ATL

SF Signal
SF Index
14904.32
Regime
neutral

Event family

Nashville vs Atlanta Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$235

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Nashville 66¢

Current share

75%

Browse this series

MLS Match Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLSGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

14904.3%

IY (No)

277.1%

Adj IY

14904%

CRI

7

RV

897%

VR

0.65

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

14904.3%
277.1%
Adj IY
14904%
7
RV
897%
VR
0.65
IAR
1.0/h
Overround
-0.1%

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Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.