SimpleFunctions

Nashville to win Nashville vs Atlanta

Nashville is priced at 69¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 66¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Nashville vs Atlanta Winner.

Price history

69¢ current

+8¢
60¢70¢
Jul 11, 2026Jul 13, 2026

Contract brief

If Nashville wins the Nashville vs Atlanta professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Nashville

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

Nashville 66¢

Range

12¢-66¢

Family volume

$235

Identifier

KXMLSGAME-26JUL17NSHATL-NSH

Jul 14, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Implied probability

69¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 14, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 18m ago

Bid

66¢

Ask

69¢

Spread

24h volume

$25

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Nashville vs Atlanta Winner

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Family volume

$235

Orderbook snapshot

66 / 69¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
66¢1.1K
65¢1.5K
64¢545
63¢1.7K
62¢100
AskSize
69¢2.3K
70¢1.6K
71¢3.0K
72¢3.6K
73¢1.1K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Nashville wins the Nashville vs Atlanta professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMLSGAME-26JUL17NSHATL-NSH

SF Signal
SF Index
1972.63
Regime
neutral

Event family

Nashville vs Atlanta Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$235

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Nashville 66¢

Current share

11%

Browse this series

MLS Match Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLSGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1047.0%

IY (No)

3945.3%

Adj IY

1973%

CRI

2

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1047.0%
3945.3%
Adj IY
1973%
2
Overround
-0.1%

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.