Before 2027 · KXNFLXINCREASE-26B
Before 2027 is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
20¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
If Netflix Standard with ads Streaming Subscription (monthly) has a national price increase of anything greater than 0% announced before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before 2027
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$39
Identifier
KXNFLXINCREASE-26B
Jun 25, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 3m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$39
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$39
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 20¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Netflix Standard with ads Streaming Subscription (monthly) has a national price increase of anything greater than 0% announced before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLXINCREASE-26B
Event family
KXNFLXINCREASE-26B.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$39
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Before 2027 14¢
Current share
100%
Before 2027
kalshi · KXNFLXINCREASE-26B
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 20% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.