SimpleFunctions

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

Over 0.5 1H goals scored is priced at 76¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 75¢ bid, 76¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXWC1HTOTAL-26JUN26NZLBEL.

Price history

76¢ current

+74¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jun 6, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If the total goals scored by New Zealand and Belgium is more than 0.5 goals in the 1st Half of the New Zealand vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Over 0.5 1H goals scored

Rank

#1 of 4

Leader

Over 0.5 1H goals scored 75¢

Range

4¢-75¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXWC1HTOTAL-26JUN26NZLBEL-1

Jun 23, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

76¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jun 23, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

75¢

Ask

76¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#1 of 4

4 outcomes · KXWC1HTOTAL-26JUN26NZLBEL

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

75 / 76¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
75¢616
74¢1.1K
73¢11K
72¢10K
71¢1.4K
AskSize
76¢286
77¢450
78¢1.0K
79¢566
80¢6.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the total goals scored by New Zealand and Belgium is more than 0.5 goals in the 1st Half of the New Zealand vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Identifier

KXWC1HTOTAL-26JUN26NZLBEL-1

SF Signal
SF Index
3111.15
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXWC1HTOTAL-26JUN26NZLBEL.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Over 0.5 1H goals scored 75¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

691.4%

IY (No)

6222.3%

Adj IY

3111%

CRI

3

Overround

0.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

691.4%
6222.3%
Adj IY
3111%
3
Overround
0.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.