SimpleFunctions

Over 2.5 1H goals scored

Over 2.5 1H goals scored is priced at 17¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 16¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside KXWC1HTOTAL-26JUN25CUWCIV.

Price history

17¢ current

+15¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jun 11, 2026Jun 21, 2026

Contract brief

If the total goals scored by Curacao and Ivory Coast is more than 2.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Curacao vs Ivory Coast professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Over 2.5 1H goals scored

Rank

#3 of 4

Leader

Over 0.5 1H goals scored 77¢

Range

6¢-77¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXWC1HTOTAL-26JUN25CUWCIV-3

Jun 21, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

17¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jun 21, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

16¢

Ask

17¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#3 of 4

4 outcomes · KXWC1HTOTAL-26JUN25CUWCIV

Closes

Jul 9, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

16 / 17¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
16¢300
15¢626
14¢296
13¢541
12¢9.1K
AskSize
17¢788
18¢149
19¢291
20¢499
21¢700

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the total goals scored by Curacao and Ivory Coast is more than 2.5 goals in the 1st Half of the Curacao vs Ivory Coast professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 9, 2026

Identifier

KXWC1HTOTAL-26JUN25CUWCIV-3

SF Signal
SF Index
5180.73
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXWC1HTOTAL-26JUN25CUWCIV.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Over 0.5 1H goals scored 77¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

10361.5%

IY (No)

375.9%

Adj IY

5181%

CRI

5

Overround

0.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

10361.5%
375.9%
Adj IY
5181%
5
Overround
0.4%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.