SimpleFunctions

Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points

Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points is priced at 66¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 61¢ bid, 63¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13WASPHI.

Price history

66¢ current

+63¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Aug 4, 2026Aug 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Philadelphia wins by more than 1.5 points in the Washington vs Philadelphia Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points 61¢

Range

5¢-61¢

Family volume

$10K

Identifier

KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13WASPHI-PHI2

Aug 26, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 39m ago

Implied probability

66¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 26, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 39m ago

Bid

61¢

Ask

63¢

Spread

Reported volume

$897

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13WASPHI

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$10K

Orderbook snapshot

61 / 63¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
61¢5
59¢1
58¢4
57¢673
56¢100
AskSize
63¢3.7K
64¢230
65¢575
66¢2.1K
67¢2.6K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Philadelphia wins by more than 1.5 points in the Washington vs Philadelphia Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13WASPHI-PHI2

SF Signal
SF Index
2808.98
Regime
taker

Event family

KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13WASPHI.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$10K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 points 61¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1148.2%

IY (No)

2809.0%

Adj IY

2809%

CRI

2

RV

274%

VR

0.76

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

1148.2%
2809.0%
Adj IY
2809%
2
RV
274%
VR
0.76
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
5.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.