Philadelphia wins by over 16.5 points
Philadelphia wins by over 16.5 points is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #16 of 16 inside KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL.
Price history
13¢ current
Contract brief
If Philadelphia wins by more than 16.5 points in the Philadelphia vs Baltimore Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Philadelphia wins by over 16.5 points
Rank
#16 of 16
Leader
Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 points 48¢
Range
10¢-48¢
Family volume
$716
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI17
Aug 9, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$56
Family rank
#16 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL
Closes
Aug 17, 2026
Family volume
$716
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Philadelphia wins by more than 16.5 points in the Philadelphia vs Baltimore Pro Football game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 17, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI17
Event family
KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$716
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 points 48¢
Current share
8%
Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI3
Baltimore wins by over 1.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL2
Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL3
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL4
Baltimore wins by over 4.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL5
Baltimore wins by over 5.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL6
Baltimore wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL7
Baltimore wins by over 7.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL8
Baltimore wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL15
Baltimore wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL10
Philadelphia wins by over 20.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI21
Baltimore wins by over 10.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL11
Philadelphia wins by over 14.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI15
Baltimore wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-BAL14
Philadelphia wins by over 17.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI18
Philadelphia wins by over 16.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26AUG15PHIBAL-PHI17
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.