Reg Time: Paderborn · Phonix Lubeck vs Paderborn Winner?: Reg Time
Reg Time: Paderborn is priced at 84¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 47¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 43¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Phonix Lubeck vs Paderborn Winner?: Reg Time.
Price history
84¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Paderborn wins the Phonix Lubeck vs Paderborn professional DFB Pokal soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Reg Time: Paderborn
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Reg Time: Paderborn 47¢
Range
3¢-47¢
Family volume
$63
Identifier
KXDFBPOKALGAME-26AUG23PHOPAD-PAD
Aug 10, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
47¢
Ask
90¢
Spread
43¢
24h volume
$63
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Phonix Lubeck vs Paderborn Winner?: Reg Time
Closes
Aug 25, 2026
Family volume
$63
Orderbook snapshot
47 / 90¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Paderborn wins the Phonix Lubeck vs Paderborn professional DFB Pokal soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 25, 2026
Identifier
KXDFBPOKALGAME-26AUG23PHOPAD-PAD
Event family
Phonix Lubeck vs Paderborn Winner?: Reg Time.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$63
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Reg Time: Paderborn 47¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
Read 84% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.