SimpleFunctions

Pittsburgh wins by over 13.5 points

Pittsburgh wins by over 13.5 points is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 28¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ATLPIT.

Price history

19¢ current

15¢20¢
Aug 27, 2026Aug 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Pittsburgh wins by more than 13.5 points in the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Pittsburgh wins by over 13.5 points

Rank

#10 of 16

Leader

Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 points 53¢

Range

3¢-53¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ATLPIT-PIT14

Aug 27, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 19m ago

Implied probability

19¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 27, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 19m ago

Bid

15¢

Ask

43¢

Spread

28¢

24h volume

$1K

Family rank

#10 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ATLPIT

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

15 / 43¢

Kalshi
28¢ spread
BidSize
100¢700
15¢500
3¢199
2¢1.9K
AskSize
43¢500
60¢2.3K
61¢2.3K
72¢2.6K
73¢14K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Pittsburgh wins by more than 13.5 points in the Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ATLPIT-PIT14

SF Signal
SF Index
10667.01
Regime
taker

Event family

KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ATLPIT.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$2K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 points 53¢

Current share

41%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

10667.0%

IY (No)

332.2%

Adj IY

10667%

CRI

6

RV

587%

VR

0.61

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

10667.0%
332.2%
Adj IY
10667%
6
RV
587%
VR
0.61
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
3.8%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.