Portland to win Portland vs Chicago
Portland is priced at 41¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Portland vs Chicago winner.
Price history
41¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If Portland wins the Portland vs Chicago women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Portland
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Chicago 60¢
Range
37¢-60¢
Family volume
$124
Identifier
KXWNBAGAME-26JUN26PDXCHI-PDX
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 16m ago
Implied probability
Bid
37¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$72
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Portland vs Chicago winner
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Family volume
$124
Orderbook snapshot
37 / 40¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Portland wins the Portland vs Chicago women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 10, 2026
Identifier
KXWNBAGAME-26JUN26PDXCHI-PDX
Event family
Portland vs Chicago winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$124
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Chicago 60¢
Current share
59%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 41% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.