Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games
Prediction markets currently give a 24% probability that Pro Football: Teams with 5+ Primetime Games. This contract trades at 24¢ on Kalshi, closing January 23, 2027. This market is severely illiquid with only $12 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 24¢ price potentially unreliable for decision-making.
Analysis
This market is severely illiquid with only $12 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 24¢ price potentially unreliable for decision-making. The 410% implied yield on the Yes side is artificially inflated due to the minimal liquidity and wide 1¢ spread, suggesting this contract is essentially inactive rather than efficiently priced. With 282 days to expiry, Jacksonville's actual primetime game allocation won't be finalized until the NFL schedule releases in May 2026, creating significant uncertainty that the current price may not adequately reflect.
Resolution rules
If Jacksonville plays in at least 5 primetime games during the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNFLPRIMETIME-27-JAC yes 100