Saudi Arabia wins by more than 2.5 goals
Saudi Arabia wins by more than 2.5 goals is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 4 inside KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26CPVKSA.
Price history
5¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Saudi Arabia wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Saudi Arabia wins by more than 2.5 goals
Rank
#4 of 4
Leader
Cape Verde wins by more than 1.5 goals 18¢
Range
4¢-18¢
Family volume
$8K
Identifier
KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26CPVKSA-KSA3
Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 23m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
5¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#4 of 4
4 outcomes · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26CPVKSA
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$8K
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 5¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Saudi Arabia wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26CPVKSA-KSA3
Event family
KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26CPVKSA.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Cape Verde wins by more than 1.5 goals 18¢
Current share
0%
Cape Verde wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26CPVKSA-CPV2
Saudi Arabia wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26CPVKSA-KSA2
Cape Verde wins by more than 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26CPVKSA-CPV3
Saudi Arabia wins by more than 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXWCSPREAD-26JUN26CPVKSA-KSA3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.