Seattle wins by over 5.5 points
Seattle wins by over 5.5 points is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA.
Price history
43¢ current
+37¢Contract brief
If Seattle wins by more than 5.5 points in the New England vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Seattle wins by over 5.5 points
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Seattle wins by over 2.5 points 55¢
Range
4¢-55¢
Family volume
$17K
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-SEA6
Aug 25, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
39¢
Ask
41¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$2
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA
Closes
Sep 12, 2026
Family volume
$17K
Orderbook snapshot
39 / 41¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Seattle wins by more than 5.5 points in the New England vs Seattle Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 12, 2026
Identifier
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-SEA6
Event family
KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$17K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Seattle wins by over 2.5 points 55¢
Current share
0%
Seattle wins by over 2.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-SEA3
Seattle wins by over 3.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-SEA4
Seattle wins by over 4.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-SEA5
Seattle wins by over 5.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-SEA6
Seattle wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-SEA7
New England wins by over 1.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-NE2
Seattle wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-SEA10
New England wins by over 5.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-NE6
Seattle wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-SEA14
New England wins by over 6.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-NE7
Seattle wins by over 16.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-SEA17
Seattle wins by over 17.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-SEA18
New England wins by over 9.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-NE10
New England wins by over 10.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-NE11
Seattle wins by over 20.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-SEA21
New England wins by over 13.5 points
kalshi · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP09NESEA-NE14
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.