Will the total vote count for all participants in Wyoming Senate General Election be above 220000

The yield curve displays a remarkably flat structure across all 2,744 constituent markets, with every market sharing an identical 454-day tenor to resolution. Within this single tenor bucket, the curve shows a consistent downward slope as strike prices increase, reflecting a standard risk-reversal pattern. Across the various state and office categories (Alaska legislative and gubernatorial races), YES probabilities range from 86% at the lowest strike (KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-AKAL-270000) down to 2% at the highest strike (KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-AL01-250000). The cheapest YES probabilities cluster in the AL01 district markets, where probabilities bottom out at 2-7%, while the most expensive YES probabilities appear in the AKAL markets, reaching 86%. This strike-based gradient is entirely expected in prediction markets structured around vote-count thresholds rather than binary outcomes. The flat tenor structure—with all markets resolving in approximately 454 days—prevents any traditional yield-curve analysis about timing expectations. The market cannot express differentiated beliefs about whether the event occurs sooner versus later, as there are no intermediate resolution dates to compare. Instead, the probability distribution across strikes within this single tenor reveals the market's uncertainty about the magnitude of vote turnout or seat changes across different districts and offices. The concentration of higher probabilities at lower strike levels suggests the market expects moderate-to-substantial turnout or seat shifts in most races, while the sharp drop-off at extreme strikes indicates low conviction about extreme outcomes. The minimal 24-hour trading volume ($300 in one market, zero elsewhere) suggests these prices may not reflect active consensus.