SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

NFL Star Next-Team Markets — 63 contracts, SF signal on every row.

63 live Kalshi contracts (54 audited). Median implied probability sits at 11%. 13 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26MCROSBY-LV -17c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Fit: mean deviation 19.5pp · cheapest KXNEXTTEAMNFL-27JALLEN-DET · richest KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26JBURROW-CIN.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXNEXTTEAMNFL.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXNEXTTEAMNFL
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXNEXTTEAMNFL
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXNEXTTEAMNFL",
    "label": "NFL Star Next-Team Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 63,
    "volume24hSum": 20803,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": {
    "seriesType": "unknown",
    "hazardRate": 0.00038
  }
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 28 May 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$20.8K-0%
min $5.9Kmax $30.2K
Breadth20%+20.0pp
min -100%max 100%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 18:00 UTC
May 22past 7d · UTCMay 28 · 16:23

Live contracts

63

Median IY

11¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$20.8K

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

-17¢

KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26MCROSBY-LV

NFL Star Next-Team Markets — liquidity topography (top 15 of 63 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 24.4 → 6328.9%

$10$100$1,000$10,0001d7d30d90d6328.93176.724.4

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in NFL Star Next-Team Markets

Showing top 20 of 63

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

What will be A.J. Brown's next team?: New England81¢
IY 46%Cliff 4Edge —RVol 167%Resid —$11.4K
What will be A.J. Brown's next team?: Stays with Philadelphia or Retires7¢
IY >999%Cliff 13Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$4.3K
What will be A.J. Brown's next team?: Los Angeles C3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$4.0K
What will be Joe Burrow's next team?: Stays with Cincinnati or Retires from Pro Football94¢
IY 24%Cliff 16Edge —RVol —Resid —$204
What will be Kayvon Thibodeaux's next team?: Chicago15¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge —RVol —Resid —$200
What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: Stays with Las Vegas or Retires64¢
IY 110%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 691%Resid —$190
What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?: Kansas City35¢
IY 313%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$129
What will be Davante Adams's next team?: Stays with Los Angeles R or Retires from Pro Football68¢
IY 180%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$100
What will be A.J. Brown's next team?: Los Angeles R3¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$80
What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?: Los Angeles C8¢
IY >999%Cliff 12Edge —RVol —Resid —$60
What will be Tyreek Hill's next team?: Stays with Miami or Retires19¢
IY 719%Cliff 4Edge —RVol 514%Resid —$34
What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?: Stays with New England or Retires12¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol —Resid —$27
What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?: Baltimore21¢
IY 736%Cliff 4Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$10
What will be Davante Adams's next team?: Green Bay68¢
IY 180%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$3
What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?: Buffalo28¢
IY 503%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$2
What will be Kyle Pitts's next team?: Stays with Atlanta or Retires74¢
IY 69%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
What will be Kyle Pitts's next team?: Cincinnati64¢
IY 110%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
What will be Kyle Pitts's next team?: Denver69¢
IY 88%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
What will be Kyle Pitts's next team?: New England44¢
IY 249%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
What will be Kayvon Thibodeaux's next team?: Baltimore17¢
IY 956%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
63 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in NFL Star Next-Team Markets

From market_changes
11h agoKalshi
What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
61¢78→61 (-17)
open →
17h agoKalshi
What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?: Buffalo
28¢12→28 (+16)
open →
7h agoKalshi
What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
73¢62→73 (+11)
open →
9h agoKalshi
What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
72¢61→72 (+11)
open →
3h agoKalshi
What will be Stefon Diggs's next team?: Los Angeles R
8¢18→8 (-10)
open →
7h agoKalshi
What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
62¢71→62 (-9)
open →
53m agoKalshi
What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
64¢71→64 (-7)
open →
8h agoKalshi
What will be Maxx Crosby's next team?: Stays with Las Vegas or Retires
65¢72→65 (-7)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 28 May 2026 17:38:25 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXNEXTTEAMNFL →

Category view

All Kalshi Sports markets. /markets/category/sports →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →