SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets — 85 contracts, SF signal on every row.

85 live Kalshi contracts (162 audited). Median implied probability sits at 74%. 149 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXRT-PRI-45 +84c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXRT.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXRT
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXRT
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXRT",
    "label": "Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 85,
    "volume24hSum": 28470.5,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": null
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 04 Sep 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$28.5K+237%
min $6.1Kmax $28.5K
Breadth-10%-0.8pp
min -57%max 46%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 01:30 UTC
Aug 28past 7d · UTCSep 4 · 00:23

Live contracts

85

Median IY

74¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$28.5K

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+84¢

KXRT-PRI-45

Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets — liquidity topography (top 53 of 85 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 17.7 → 15041.4%

$10$100$1,000$10,0001d7d30d90d15041.47529.517.7

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets

Showing top 20 of 85

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

Wild Horse Nine Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9044¢
IY 698%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 746%Resid —$16.7K
Wild Horse Nine Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8582¢
IY 120%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 302%Resid —$6.6K
Wild Horse Nine Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9223¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$1.1K
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9028¢
IY 864%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$546
Primetime Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7582¢
IY 327%Cliff 5Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$500
Forgotten Island Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8075¢
IY 496%Cliff 3Edge —RVol 158%Resid —$500
Wild Horse Nine Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8090¢
IY 61%Cliff 9Edge —RVol —Resid —$412
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 958¢
IY >999%Cliff 12Edge —RVol —Resid —$266
Wild Horse Nine Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9511¢
IY >999%Cliff 8Edge —RVol —Resid —$246
Digger Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9013¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol —Resid —$158
Primetime Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8059¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$153
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8543¢
IY 446%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 397%Resid —$144
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8066¢
IY 173%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$134
Wild Horse Nine Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 975¢
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge —RVol —Resid —$110
Primetime Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9018¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$107
Dune: Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9063¢
IY 197%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$94
Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 907¢
IY >999%Cliff 13Edge —RVol —Resid —$92
Verity Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 5015¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$88
Dune: Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8573¢
IY 124%Cliff 3Edge —RVol 296%Resid —$56
Dune: Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9517¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$42
85 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets

From market_changes
16h agoKalshi
Primetime Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 45
91¢7→91 (+84)
open →
16h agoKalshi
Heart of the Beast Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 50
84¢7→84 (+77)
open →
18h agoKalshi
Forgotten Island Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 75
8¢82→8 (-74)
open →
16h agoKalshi
Primetime Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 50
91¢20→91 (+71)
open →
16h agoKalshi
Heart of the Beast Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 55
76¢7→76 (+69)
open →
16h agoKalshi
Primetime Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 55
89¢20→89 (+69)
open →
16h agoKalshi
Forgotten Island Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 55
91¢22→91 (+69)
open →
16h agoKalshi
Forgotten Island Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 60
89¢20→89 (+69)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 04 Sep 2026 01:08:41 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXRT →

Category view

All Kalshi Entertainment markets. /markets/category/entertainment →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →