SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets — 147 contracts, SF signal on every row.

147 live Kalshi contracts (162 audited). Median implied probability sits at 80%. 99 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXRT-STA-61 -68c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXRT.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXRT
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXRT
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXRT",
    "label": "Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 147,
    "volume24hSum": 68469.27,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": null
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 24 May 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$68.5K+35%
min $20.6Kmax $223.8K
Breadth-25%-23.6pp
min -54%max 47%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 23:15 UTC
May 18past 7d · UTCMay 24 · 22:23

Live contracts

147

Median IY

80¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$68.5K

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

-68¢

KXRT-STA-61

Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets — liquidity topography (top 79 of 147 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 33.0 → 100000.0%

$10$100$1,000$10,0001d7d30d90d100000.050016.533.0

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets

Showing top 20 of 147

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 627¢
IY >999%Cliff 13Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$25.9K
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 6095¢
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge —RVol 766%Resid —$18.4K
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 6169¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$8.5K
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 5997¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol 861%Resid —$1.5K
Scary Movie Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 5512¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol —Resid —$1.4K
Masters of the Universe Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7548¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 350%Resid —$1.1K
Toy Story 5 Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9065¢
IY 686%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$1.0K
Backrooms Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8533¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 151%Resid —$860
Backrooms Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9015¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge —RVol 275%Resid —$791
Pressure Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 6588¢
IY 651%Cliff 7Edge —RVol 60%Resid —$736
Backrooms Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8054¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 327%Resid —$673
Pressure Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7558¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 352%Resid —$635
Toy Story 5 Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9531¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$501
Backrooms Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7574¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge —RVol 233%Resid —$449
Disclosure Day Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7083¢
IY 345%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 189%Resid —$379
Scary Movie Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 3540¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 262%Resid —$358
Scary Movie Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 3047¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 289%Resid —$335
Toy Story 5 Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9714¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge —RVol —Resid —$320
Power Ballad Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8539¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$276
Pressure Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8039¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 266%Resid —$271
147 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets

From market_changes
20h agoKalshi
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 61
16¢84→16 (-68)
open →
20h agoKalshi
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 61
79¢16→79 (+63)
open →
17h agoKalshi
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 59
62¢96→62 (-34)
open →
35m agoKalshi
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 61
69¢44→69 (+25)
open →
17h agoKalshi
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 59
91¢68→91 (+23)
open →
3h agoKalshi
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 60
66¢89→66 (-23)
open →
7h agoKalshi
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 61
63¢85→63 (-22)
open →
4h agoKalshi
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 60
76¢94→76 (-18)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 24 May 2026 22:38:25 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXRT →

Category view

All Kalshi Entertainment markets. /markets/category/entertainment →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →