SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets — 117 contracts, SF signal on every row.

117 live Kalshi contracts (162 audited). Median implied probability sits at 72%. 129 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXRT-WEI-80 +68c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXRT.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXRT
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXRT
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXRT",
    "label": "Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 117,
    "volume24hSum": 10140.28,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": null
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 29 Aug 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$10.1K-72%
min $5.8Kmax $58.8K
Breadth11%+30.3pp
min -56%max 52%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 19:00 UTC
Aug 22past 7d · UTCAug 29 · 18:23

Live contracts

117

Median IY

72¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$10.1K

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+68¢

KXRT-WEI-80

Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets — liquidity topography (top 75 of 117 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 20.5 → 18683.9%

$10$100$1,0001d7d30d90d18683.99352.220.5

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets

Showing top 20 of 117

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 959¢
IY >999%Cliff 10Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$1.5K
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9028¢
IY 824%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$1.3K
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8067¢
IY 158%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 106%Resid —$1.0K
The Weight Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7596¢
IY 67%Cliff 24Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$749
Resident Evil Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9034¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$728
The Weight Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8576¢
IY 505%Cliff 3Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$620
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8548¢
IY 347%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 171%Resid —$618
Resident Evil Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8062¢
IY 981%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 629%Resid —$428
Digger Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7554¢
IY 845%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 498%Resid —$388
Digger Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8040¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 596%Resid —$192
Digger Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7066¢
IY 511%Cliff 2Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$192
Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8035¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 415%Resid —$184
Practical Magic 2 Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7523¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$181
The Uprising Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 5081¢
IY 542%Cliff 4Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$152
The Uprising Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 4586¢
IY 376%Cliff 6Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$139
Verity Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7043¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 628%Resid —$121
Dune: Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9527¢
IY 867%Cliff 3Edge —RVol 298%Resid —$111
Dune: Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9061¢
IY 205%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$107
Verity Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8514¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge —RVol 959%Resid —$106
Primetime Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8542¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$104
117 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets

From market_changes
4h agoKalshi
The Weight Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 80
89¢21→89 (+68)
open →
13h agoKalshi
Resident Evil Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 70
79¢21→79 (+58)
open →
9h agoKalshi
The Uprising Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 50
28¢84→28 (-56)
open →
9h agoKalshi
The Uprising Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 55
22¢78→22 (-56)
open →
9h agoKalshi
Resident Evil Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 70
24¢78→24 (-54)
open →
6h agoKalshi
The Weight Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 80
74¢20→74 (+54)
open →
4h agoKalshi
Resident Evil Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 70
78¢24→78 (+54)
open →
16h agoKalshi
Digger Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 70
66¢13→66 (+53)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 29 Aug 2026 18:38:42 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXRT →

Category view

All Kalshi Entertainment markets. /markets/category/entertainment →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →