SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets — 17 contracts, SF signal on every row.

17 live Kalshi contracts (162 audited). Median implied probability sits at 79%. Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXRT.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXRT
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXRT
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXRT",
    "label": "Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 17,
    "volume24hSum": 4533.16,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": null
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 12 Oct 2026Methodology
Disagreement—
warming up — first reading at 09:30 UTC
Vol Flow$4.5K-79%
min $1.5Kmax $25.4K
Breadth—
warming up — first reading at 09:30 UTC
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 09:30 UTC
Oct 6past 6d · UTCOct 12 · 16:23

Live contracts

17

Median IY

79¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$4.5K

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

—

no 24h moves

Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets — liquidity topography (top 13 of 17 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 16.1 → 5278.9%

$10$100$1,0001d7d30d90d5278.92647.516.1

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets

Showing top 17 of 17

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 959¢
IY >999%Cliff 10Edge —RVol —Resid —$2.2K
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8550¢
IY 522%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$557
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9031¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$483
Dune: Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9516¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$445
Dune: Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9049¢
IY 543%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$419
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8067¢
IY 257%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$225
Dune: Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 6597¢
IY 16%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$158
Dune: Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8569¢
IY 235%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$22
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 6586¢
IY 85%Cliff 6Edge —RVol —Resid —$11
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7573¢
IY 193%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$3
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7079¢
IY 139%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$1
Dune: Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8080¢
IY 131%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$1
Dune: Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7590¢
IY 58%Cliff 9Edge —RVol —Resid —$1
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 5592¢
IY 45%Cliff 12Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 6089¢
IY 65%Cliff 8Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 5096¢
IY 22%Cliff 24Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Dune: Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7094¢
IY 33%Cliff 16Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
17 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 12 Oct 2026 17:08:41 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXRT →

Category view

All Kalshi Entertainment markets. /markets/category/entertainment →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →