SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets — 89 contracts, SF signal on every row.

89 live Kalshi contracts (162 audited). Median implied probability sits at 69%. 78 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXRT-PIN-25 +84c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXRT.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXRT
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXRT
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXRT",
    "label": "Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 89,
    "volume24hSum": 161885.45,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": null
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 12 Jul 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$161.9K+712%
min $23.1Kmax $342.2K
Breadth-14%+35.6pp
min -73%max 76%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 20:00 UTC
Jul 5past 7d · UTCJul 12 · 18:23

Live contracts

89

Median IY

69¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$161.9K

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+84¢

KXRT-PIN-25

Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets — liquidity topography (top 64 of 89 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 7.0 → 100000.0%

$10$100$1,000$10,0001d7d30d90d100000.050003.57.0

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets

Showing top 20 of 89

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

The Invite Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 963¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol —Resid —$22.8K
Evil Dead Burn Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 723¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$15.9K
Moana Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 3420¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$15.6K
Moana Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 3360¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$14.8K
Moana Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 353¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$14.6K
Moana Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 3292¢
IY >999%Cliff 12Edge —RVol 630%Resid —$13.3K
Evil Dead Burn Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 7080¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge —RVol 843%Resid —$11.6K
The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9059¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 231%Resid —$8.3K
The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8093¢
IY 354%Cliff 13Edge —RVol —Resid —$5.8K
The Invite Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9596¢
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge —RVol 306%Resid —$3.4K
One Night Only Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 6531¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.3K
Spider-Man: Brand New Day Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9524¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$3.0K
One Night Only Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 6041¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$2.8K
The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 976¢
IY >999%Cliff 16Edge —RVol —Resid —$2.6K
The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9518¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 300%Resid —$2.6K
One Night Only Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 5059¢
IY 882%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$2.5K
Evil Dead Burn Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 6997¢
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$2.3K
The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8773¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge —RVol 199%Resid —$1.9K
The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 8581¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge —RVol 147%Resid —$1.6K
The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 9244¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 372%Resid —$1.2K
89 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Movie Rotten Tomatoes Score Markets

From market_changes
3h agoKalshi
Pinocchio Unstrung Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 25
94¢10→94 (+84)
open →
8h agoKalshi
Pinocchio Unstrung Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 35
12¢84→12 (-72)
open →
3h agoKalshi
Pinocchio Unstrung Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 35
85¢14→85 (+71)
open →
21h agoKalshi
Pinocchio Unstrung Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 20
58¢98→58 (-40)
open →
21h agoKalshi
Pinocchio Unstrung Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 15
61¢98→61 (-37)
open →
20h agoKalshi
Pinocchio Unstrung Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 20
97¢67→97 (+30)
open →
20h agoKalshi
Pinocchio Unstrung Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 15
97¢70→97 (+27)
open →
18h agoKalshi
Pinocchio Unstrung Rotten Tomatoes score?: Above 20
76¢97→76 (-21)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 12 Jul 2026 19:38:41 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXRT →

Category view

All Kalshi Entertainment markets. /markets/category/entertainment →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →