SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

WNBA Team Season Win Total Markets — 45 contracts, SF signal on every row.

45 live Kalshi contracts (61 audited). Median implied probability sits at 55%. 202 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXWNBAWINS-26ATL-25 +86c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Fit: mean deviation 38.4pp · cheapest KXWNBAWINS-26SEA-20 · richest KXWNBAWINS-26GS-20.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXWNBAWINS.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXWNBAWINS
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXWNBAWINS
example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXWNBAWINS",
    "label": "WNBA Team Season Win Total Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 45,
    "volume24hSum": 2020.73,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": {
    "seriesType": "unknown",
    "hazardRate": 0.00155
  }
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 24 Jul 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$2.0K+55%
min $95max $3.7K
Breadth-2%+0.5pp
min -80%max 11%
Activity
warming up — first reading at 10:30 UTC
Jul 17past 7d · UTCJul 24 · 08:23

Live contracts

45

Median IY

55¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$2.0K

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+86¢

KXWNBAWINS-26ATL-25

WNBA Team Season Win Total Markets — liquidity topography (top 14 of 45 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 66.2 15701.8%

$10$100$1,0001d7d30d90d15701.87884.066.2

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in WNBA Team Season Win Total Markets

Showing top 20 of 45

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

Will the Los Angeles Sparks Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 20 games this season?: 20+ wins51¢
IY 467%Cliff 1Edge RVol >999%Resid $1.4K
Will the Indiana Fever Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games this season?: 30+ wins21¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge RVol >999%Resid $214
Will the Phoenix Mercury Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 20 games this season?: 20+ wins22¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge RVol >999%Resid $174
Will the Minnesota Lynx Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 35 games this season?: 35+ wins14¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge RVol >999%Resid $81
Will the Dallas Wings Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games this season?: 30+ wins33¢
IY 986%Cliff 2Edge RVol 333%Resid $48
Will the Seattle Storm Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 15 games this season?: 15+ wins
IY >999%Cliff 12Edge RVol 690%Resid $47
Will the Chicago Sky Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 10 games this season?: 10+ wins60¢
IY 324%Cliff 2Edge RVol >999%Resid $20
Will the Washington Mystics Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 20 games this season?: 20+ wins88¢
IY 66%Cliff 7Edge RVol 428%Resid $12
Will the Seattle Storm Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 10 games this season?: 10+ wins67¢
IY 239%Cliff 2Edge RVol 181%Resid $11
Will the Golden State Valkyries Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games this season?: 30+ wins56¢
IY 382%Cliff 1Edge RVol 346%Resid $5
Will the New York Liberty Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 25 games this season?: 25+ wins55¢
IY 397%Cliff 1Edge RVol >999%Resid $3
Will the Indiana Fever Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 25 games this season?: 25+ wins76¢
IY 153%Cliff 3Edge RVol >999%Resid $2
Will the Seattle Storm Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 20 games this season?: 20+ wins
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge RVol Resid $1
Will the Connecticut Sun Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 15 games this season?: 15+ wins
IY >999%Cliff 13Edge RVol Resid $0
Will the Las Vegas Aces Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 25 games this season?: 25+ wins83¢
IY 99%Cliff 5Edge RVol 223%Resid $0
Will the Las Vegas Aces Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games this season?: 30+ wins51¢
IY 467%Cliff 1Edge RVol 970%Resid $0
Will the Minnesota Lynx Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 25 games this season?: 25+ wins86¢
IY 79%Cliff 6Edge RVol 123%Resid $0
Will the Minnesota Lynx Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games this season?: 30+ wins85¢
IY 86%Cliff 6Edge RVol 266%Resid $0
Will the New York Liberty Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 20 games this season?: 20+ wins88¢
IY 66%Cliff 7Edge RVol 72%Resid $0
Will the New York Liberty Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games this season?: 30+ wins16¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge RVol Resid $0
45 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in WNBA Team Season Win Total Markets

From market_changes

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 24 Jul 2026 10:08:42 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXWNBAWINS

Category view

All Kalshi Sports markets. /markets/category/sports

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →