SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

WNBA Team Season Win Total Markets — 58 contracts, SF signal on every row.

58 live Kalshi contracts (61 audited). Median implied probability sits at 61%. 567 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXWNBAWINS-26TOR-10 +91c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Fit: mean deviation 32.9pp · cheapest KXWNBAWINS-26LA-15 · richest KXWNBAWINS-26LV-10.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXWNBAWINS.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXWNBAWINS
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXWNBAWINS
example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXWNBAWINS",
    "label": "WNBA Team Season Win Total Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 58,
    "volume24hSum": 629.83,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": {
    "seriesType": "unknown",
    "hazardRate": 0.01141
  }
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 27 May 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$630-45%
min $639max $8.2K
Breadth-5%+4.0pp
min -25%max 9%
Activity
warming up — first reading at 22:15 UTC
May 22past 6d · UTCMay 27 · 20:23

Live contracts

58

Median IY

61¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$630

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+91¢

KXWNBAWINS-26TOR-10

WNBA Team Season Win Total Markets — liquidity topography (top 8 of 58 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 123.6 8896.1%

$10$1001d7d30d90d8896.14509.9123.6

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in WNBA Team Season Win Total Markets

Showing top 20 of 58

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

Will the Toronto Tempo Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 15 games this season?: 15+ wins
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge RVol >999%Resid $412
Will the Indiana Fever Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games this season?: 30+ wins31¢
IY 612%Cliff 2Edge RVol >999%Resid $171
Will the Portland Fire Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 10 games this season?: 10+ wins17¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge RVol Resid $25
Will the Atlanta Dream Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games this season?: 30+ wins50¢
IY 275%Cliff 1Edge RVol Resid $11
Will the Golden State Valkyries Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games this season?: 30+ wins17¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge RVol Resid $6
Will the Phoenix Mercury Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 20 games this season?: 20+ wins69¢
IY 124%Cliff 2Edge RVol 155%Resid $2
Will the Portland Fire Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 20 games this season?: 20+ wins
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge RVol >999%Resid $2
Will the Seattle Storm Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 10 games this season?: 10+ wins56¢
IY 216%Cliff 1Edge RVol >999%Resid $1
Will the Seattle Storm Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 25 games this season?: 25+ wins
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge RVol Resid $0
Will the Toronto Tempo Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 10 games this season?: 10+ wins81¢
IY 65%Cliff 4Edge RVol >999%Resid $0
Will the Washington Mystics Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 10 games this season?: 10+ wins78¢
IY 78%Cliff 4Edge RVol >999%Resid $0
Will the Phoenix Mercury Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 10 games this season?: 10+ wins90¢
IY 31%Cliff 9Edge RVol Resid $0
Will the Phoenix Mercury Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 15 games this season?: 15+ wins90¢
IY 31%Cliff 9Edge RVol Resid $0
Will the Phoenix Mercury Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 25 games this season?: 25+ wins29¢
IY 674%Cliff 2Edge RVol >999%Resid $0
Will the Seattle Storm Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 15 games this season?: 15+ wins
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge RVol Resid $0
Will the Seattle Storm Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 20 games this season?: 20+ wins
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge RVol >999%Resid $0
Will the Golden State Valkyries Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 10 games this season?: 10+ wins90¢
IY 31%Cliff 9Edge RVol Resid $0
Will the Golden State Valkyries Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 15 games this season?: 15+ wins90¢
IY 31%Cliff 9Edge RVol Resid $0
Will the Golden State Valkyries Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 20 games this season?: 20+ wins83¢
IY 56%Cliff 5Edge RVol 139%Resid $0
Will the Golden State Valkyries Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 25 games this season?: 25+ wins49¢
IY 286%Cliff 1Edge RVol >999%Resid $0
58 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in WNBA Team Season Win Total Markets

From market_changes

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 27 May 2026 22:08:23 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXWNBAWINS

Category view

All Kalshi Sports markets. /markets/category/sports

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →