SimpleFunctions

Las Vegas Aces Women's Pro Basketball team win at least 30 games this season

30+ wins is priced at 63¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 56¢ bid, 84¢ ask, 28¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 7 inside Will the Las Vegas Aces Women's Pro Basketball team win at least.

Price history

63¢ current

+56¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 26, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the Las Vegas Aces Women's Pro Basketball team wins at least 30 games in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

30+ wins

Rank

#5 of 7

Leader

15+ wins 92¢

Range

2¢-92¢

Family volume

$1

Identifier

KXWNBAWINS-26LV-30

Jun 25, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 22m ago

Implied probability

63¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 22m ago

Bid

56¢

Ask

84¢

Spread

28¢

24h volume

$1

Family rank

#5 of 7

7 outcomes · Will the Las Vegas Aces Women's Pro Basketball team win at least

Closes

Oct 7, 2026

Family volume

$1

Orderbook snapshot

56 / 84¢

Kalshi
28¢ spread
BidSize
56¢73
55¢39
54¢1.0K
51¢92
45¢49
AskSize
84¢1
86¢920
98¢1.0K
99¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the Las Vegas Aces Women's Pro Basketball team wins at least 30 games in the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 7, 2026

Identifier

KXWNBAWINS-26LV-30

SF Signal
SF Index
280.09
Regime
taker

Event family

Will the Las Vegas Aces Women's Pro Basketball team win at least.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1

Outcomes

7

Highest price

15+ wins 92¢

Current share

100%

Browse this series

WNBA Team Season Win Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXWNBAWINS series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

276.7%

IY (No)

448.1%

Adj IY

280%

CRI

1

RV

534%

VR

3.30

Regime

taker

Score

0.614

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

276.7%
448.1%
Adj IY
280%
1
RV
534%
VR
3.30
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
3.2%
LAS
0.38

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.