Vallecano to win Sevilla vs Vallecano
Vallecano is priced at 30¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Sevilla vs Vallecano Winner.
Price history
30¢ current
+26¢Contract brief
If Vallecano wins the Sevilla vs Vallecano professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Vallecano
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Sevilla 40¢
Range
27¢-40¢
Family volume
$111
Identifier
KXLALIGAGAME-26AUG15SEVRVC-RVC
Aug 9, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
27¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
2¢
Reported volume
$442
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · Sevilla vs Vallecano Winner
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Family volume
$111
Orderbook snapshot
27 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Vallecano wins the Sevilla vs Vallecano professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Identifier
KXLALIGAGAME-26AUG15SEVRVC-RVC
Event family
Sevilla vs Vallecano Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$111
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Sevilla 40¢
Current share
0%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.