SimpleFunctions

Frankfurt To Advance for St. Tonis vs Frankfurt

Frankfurt To Advance: Frankfurt advances is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 47¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 47¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside St. Tonis vs Frankfurt.

Price history

96¢ current

+94¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Aug 7, 2026Aug 8, 2026

Contract brief

If Frankfurt advance past St. Tonis in the St. Tonis vs Frankfurt soccer tie in the Round 1 of the DFB Pokal, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Frankfurt To Advance: Frankfurt advances

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Frankfurt To Advance: Frankfurt advances 47¢

Range

3¢-47¢

Family volume

$560

Identifier

KXDFBPOKALADVANCE-26AUG21STTSGE-SGE

Aug 8, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

96¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 8, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

47¢

Ask

94¢

Spread

47¢

24h volume

$560

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · St. Tonis vs Frankfurt

Closes

Sep 18, 2026

Family volume

$560

Orderbook snapshot

47 / 94¢

Kalshi
47¢ spread
BidSize
47¢5
46¢20
19¢33
3¢10
2¢275
AskSize
94¢5
95¢204
96¢160
97¢200
98¢450

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Frankfurt advance past St. Tonis in the St. Tonis vs Frankfurt soccer tie in the Round 1 of the DFB Pokal, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 18, 2026

Identifier

KXDFBPOKALADVANCE-26AUG21STTSGE-SGE

SF Signal
SF Index
1008.15
Regime
neutral

Event family

St. Tonis vs Frankfurt.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$560

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Frankfurt To Advance: Frankfurt advances 47¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1008.1%

IY (No)

792.8%

Adj IY

1008%

CRI

1

RV

5914%

VR

6.93

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1008.1%
792.8%
Adj IY
1008%
1
RV
5914%
VR
6.93
IAR
0.7/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.