Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico for Texas combo
Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside KXTXRAILROADCOMBO-26NOV03.
Price history
46¢ current
Contract brief
If ALL of Jon Rosenthal in the Texas Railroad Commissioner election and James Talarico in the U.S. Senate election win their respective elections in the November 3, 2026 Texas general elections for Railroad Commissioner and U.S. Senate, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico 46¢
Range
5¢-46¢
Family volume
$8K
Identifier
KXTXRAILROADCOMBO-26NOV03-JRTL
Sep 23, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
46¢
Ask
49¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · KXTXRAILROADCOMBO-26NOV03
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$8K
Orderbook snapshot
46 / 49¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If ALL of Jon Rosenthal in the Texas Railroad Commissioner election and James Talarico in the U.S. Senate election win their respective elections in the November 3, 2026 Texas general elections for Railroad Commissioner and U.S. Senate, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXTXRAILROADCOMBO-26NOV03-JRTL
Event family
KXTXRAILROADCOMBO-26NOV03.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico 46¢
Current share
33%
Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico
kalshi · KXTXRAILROADCOMBO-26NOV03-JRTL
Bo French & Ken Paxton
kalshi · KXTXRAILROADCOMBO-26NOV03-BFKP
Bo French & James Talarico
kalshi · KXTXRAILROADCOMBO-26NOV03-BFTL
Jon Rosenthal & Ken Paxton
kalshi · KXTXRAILROADCOMBO-26NOV03-JRKP
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.