SimpleFunctions

Will Jayden Trey Schaper make the cut for The Open Championship

Jayden Trey Schaper is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 48¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #16 of 16 inside The Open Championship.

Price history

58¢ current

+39¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 6, 2026Jul 13, 2026

Contract brief

If Jayden Trey Schaper has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jayden Trey Schaper

Rank

#16 of 16

Leader

Rory McIlroy 84¢

Range

48¢-84¢

Family volume

$54K

Identifier

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-JSCH

Jul 13, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

58¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 13, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

48¢

Ask

54¢

Spread

24h volume

$65

Family rank

#16 of 16

16 outcomes · The Open Championship

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Family volume

$54K

Orderbook snapshot

48 / 54¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
48¢12
47¢20
44¢1.7K
42¢7.8K
29¢100
AskSize
54¢12
55¢2.3K
57¢1.7K
58¢8.9K
59¢6.8K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jayden Trey Schaper has made the cut at the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Identifier

KXPGAMAKECUT-THOC26-JSCH

SF Signal
SF Index
2039.28
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Cut Made Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGAMAKECUT series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

2039.3%

IY (No)

1737.6%

Adj IY

2039%

CRI

1

RV

235187%

VR

17.26

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2039.3%
1737.6%
Adj IY
2039%
1
RV
235187%
VR
17.26
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
70.2%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.